At the 2009 climate meeting in Copenhagen I was working
at the Conference Board of Canada and up to my eyeballs in climate change
adaptation work. Then, like now, I wish I could have been a part of these
Paris talks. Such exciting times! I doubt if there ever was any chance of these just
completed climate negotiations failing like they
did in Copenhagen
but beyond that, is this the breakthrough agreement the world needs to turn the
corner towards sustainability? Is this ground breaking history in the making?
Barack Obama says the deal is “best
chance to save our planet”. But will it work? Maybe, but I doubt it. After the brutal senseless murders in Paris last month, it shows some impressive
resolve and resilience by our hardy species, maybe something to be proud of? It
will buy us some time though. After all, we haven’t yet reached our peak with
GHGs, we have a lot of pain to endure before turning this Titanic thing around.
I used to think the climate change debate was designed
to get us (US?)
to slow down our consumptive ways, to become cleaner, more efficient and
smarter, but now it’s just becoming another technological fix for the almighty
economy – another way to make money. The so called Green economy is obviously a
good way to do business but it only goes so far without real work and sacrifice.
I don’t believe that the rich or developed nations want to sacrifice much but
they (we) need to be seen as making a serious effort to avoid sea level rise
which will imperil most countries equally.
Of course when push comes to shove, it’s the developed
countries and rich people who have more options and flexibility to “adapt” to
the ugly aspects of climate change. When we realize that this climate shift is
bigger than us and has more momentum than we ever thought; the diplomatic
gloves will come off and it will be everyone and every nation for itself. I’ll
be glad that I won’t be around for that chapter of humanity. Still this
agreement gives hope that we can actually work together for a common cause and
there is no bigger or more important cause than maintaining our sweet spot; our
“goldilocks” climate. Of course, Nature doesn’t care or discern if the planet
has runaway greenhouse effect from GHGs created from burning stuff or volcanoes
suddenly blowing their tops. She will do what she has always done to mop up the
mess and continue nurturing life.
The Earth’s amazing ability to maintain
homeostasis has been going on for billions of years. We either work with the
natural rhythms and limits to nature or we face the consequences, nothing
personal. Our quest for so called sustainability is a myth because this has
never existed before and runs contrary to the laws of change which is what we
get on this dynamic planet. Sustainability is a mythical goal that humanity
must strive to define and live up to if we want to continue to be comfortable on
this ship called Earth. It’s quite possible our descendents will look back at this
Paris meeting
in 2015, maybe in 50 or 500 years, and say that we made a sincere effort to
find some kind of harmony on Earth but it was beyond our ability or means.
Obviously without genuine belief this feat of survival can be achieved, we don’t
have a chance! Maybe it will become clear that we blew the best chance we had
and it will simply be the turn for another species to try its luck at this
rodeo circus of life by clinging on to the bronking back of Mother Earth?
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